Title: [Presentation] Diagnosing inter-model differences in the macro-economic implications of deep mitigation
Date: November 2022
Short description:

Presented by Alexandre C. Köberle (Imperial College London, Grantham Institute)

Authors:
Alexandre C. Köberle
Shivika Mittal
Ajay Gambhir
Dirk-Jan van de Ven
Ha Bui
Lorenza Campagnolo
Elisa Delpiazzo
Marc Vielle
Sigit Perdana
Sara Giarola
Joeri Rogelj
Alexandros Nikas
Title: [Presentation] IPCC AR6 climate scenarios and the open-source “climate-assessment” tool for IAM emissions scenarios
Date: November 2022
Short description:

Presented by Jarmo Kikstra (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis).

Authors:
Jarmo Kikstra
Zebedee Nicholls
Christopher Smith
Jared Lewis
Robin Lamboll
Edward Byers
Marit Sandstad
Malte Meinshausen
Matthew Gidden
Joeri Rogelj
Elmar Kriegler
Glen Peters
Jan Fuglestvedt
Ragnhild Skeie
Bjørn Samset
Laura Wienpahl
Detlef Van Vuuren
Kaj-Ivar Van der Wijst
Alaa Al Khourdajie
Piers Forster
Andy Reisinger
Roberto Schaeffer
Keywan Riahi
Title: [Presentation] Course correcting 1.5C mitigation pathways in light of new adverse information
Date: November 2022
Short description:

Presented by Ajay Gambhir (Imperial College London, Grantham Institute).

Authors:
Ajay Gambhir
Shivika Mittal
Robin Lamboll
Neil Grant
Alexandre C. Köberle
Adam Hawkes
Joeri Rogelj
Jason Lowe
Title: [Presentation] Paris-compliant sustainable development pathways in the EU: a multi-model study
Date: November 2022
Short description:

Presented by Lorenza Campagnolo (CMCC).

Authors:
Lorenza Campagnolo
Elisa Delpiazzo
Jorge Moreno
Dirk-Jan van de Ven
Alessandro Chiodi
Maurizio Gargiulo
Baptiste Boitier
Konstantinos Koasidis
Alexandros Nikas
Title: [Poster] India’s Energy System Transformation to Net Zero
Date: November 2022
Short description:

Presented by Shivika Mittal (Imperial College London, Grantham Institute).

Authors:
Shivika Mittal
Alexandre C. Köberle
Priyadarshi R. Shukla
Ajay Gambhir
Title: [Presentation] An Open and Transparent Modelling Initiative for Globally Implemented Emission Reduction Policies
Date: November 2022
Short description:

Presented by Dirk-Jan van de Ven (Basque Centre for Climate Change).

Authors:
Dirk-Jan van de Ven
Title: [Presentation] Tracing the transformation through a decade of mitigation scenarios
Date: November 2022
Short description:

Presented by Dirk-Jan van de Ven (Basque Centre for Climate Change).

Authors:
Dirk-Jan van de Ven
Panagiotis Fragkos
Faidra Filippidou
Lukas Hermwille
Wolfgang Obergassel
Leon Clarke
Ajay Gambhir
Mikel Gonzalez-Eguino
Shivika Mittal
Alexandros Nikas
Glen P. Peters
Ida Sognnaes
Title: What do experts perceive as critical game-changing innovations to consider in modelling and policy?
Date: October 2022
Short description:

Achieving the temperature goals of the Paris Agreement, which has encouraged major economies to pledge for carbon neutrality around or shortly after the middle of this century, requires a clear pathway to carbon-free industrial, economic, and societal activities.

Authors:
Sigit Perdana
Georgios Xexakis
Konstantinos Koasidis
Marc Vielle
Alexandros Nikas
Haris Doukas
Ajay Gambhir
Annela Anger-Kraavi
Elin May
Ben McWilliams
Baptiste Boitier
Tags:
game-changers
innovations
behavioural change
Title: Stakeholder-informed modelling to decarbonise the Greek power sector in the light of today's energy crisis
Date: October 2022
Short description:

While fossil fuel prices soar during the 2022 global energy crisis, Greece still plans to use natural gas as a transition fuel for delignitisation intending to heavily invest on additional natural gas infrastructure, with strong concerns over potential exacerbation of fossil fuel lock-ins, energy poverty and hurdles to progress in climate action.

Authors:
Konstantinos Koasidis
Anastasios Karamaneas
Alexandros Nikas
Diamantis Koutsandreas
Haris Doukas
Tags:
Energy
Greece
Stakeholder engagement
Energy system models
Title: An integrated methodology for power generation planning decision support: the case of Greece’s green hydrogen economy
Date: October 2022
Short description:

Green hydrogen could compose an invaluable tool for governments on the race to net zero emissions. It could stabilize variable clean power generation through storage and assist in decarbonizing hard-to-abate sectors (e.g., transport), where electricity is not an option.

Authors:
Diamantis Koutsandreas
Georgios P. Trachanas
Ioannis Pappis
Alexandros Nikas
Haris Doukas
John Psarras
Tags:
hydrogen
Greece
multi-criteria decision aid
Title: Letting it all out! Behavioural and emotional drivers and our lock-ins to Petrocultures
Date: August 2022
Short description:

PARIS REINFORCE researchers, Alevgul Sorman and Esther Galende-Sanchez from the Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3), took part in the Petrocultures 2022 conference in Stavanger, Norway, presenting their findings from a deliberative dialogue conducted in Spain on how behavioural and emotional drivers can lock us into petroleum-intensive mobility and consumption patterns or move us forward toward climate action, in the session on Oil Behaviours.

Authors:
Alevgul Sorman
Esther Galende-Sanchez
Tags:
petrocultures
deliberation
Behavioral change
Title: [Paper] Normalising the Output of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps
Date: July 2022
Short description:

Fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) constitute a quasi-quantitative modelling tool with the inherent ability to reduce the computational and data complexity of a represented system, as well as engage experts in the process to introduce human cognition in terms of how a system behaves. However, despite being constructed with and for experts, aiming to assist them into better understanding system dynamics, the interpretation of the semi-quantitative outputs of FCMs has been found challenging.

Authors:
Themistoklis Koutsellis
Alexandros Nikas
Konstantinos Koasidis
Georgios Xexakis
Christos Petkidis
Anastasios Karamaneas
Haris Doukas
Tags:
fuzzy cognitive maps
Title: [Paper] EU-GCC cooperation opportunities on behavioural energy efficiency
Date: July 2022
Short description:

Heading to as well as in the aftermath of the 26th UN Climate Change Conference (COP26), the European Union (EU) and Member States of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), through the European Green Deal and the updated Nationally Determined Contributions respectively, renewed their pledges, raising the ambition towards battling climate change. Despite differences in individual commitments, the pathways to achieve these pledges pass through energy efficiency.

Authors:
Konstantinos Koasidis
Nikolaos Vourgidis
Vangelis Marinakis
Haris Doukas
Tags:
Gulf Cooperation Council
behavioural change
energy efficiency
Title: [Presentation] Are interactive scenario tools an effective solution for expanding the uncertainty space and communicating scenario results of integrated assessment modeling?
Date: June 2022
Short description:

Georgios Xexakis (HOLISTIC) presented a collection of results from two empirical studies on using interactive scenarios tools for stakeholder engagement and scenario communication at the 2022 Scenarios Forum, at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) and Laxenburg Conference Center in Laxenburg, Austria.

Authors:
Georgios Xexakis
Tags:
interactive scenario tools
uncertainty
Integrated assessment modeling
communication
Title: [Presentation] Time to listen: A deliberative dialogue in Spain for tackling the climate crisis
Date: June 2022
Short description:

Ester Galende-Sanchez, Alevgul Sorman, and Mikel Gonzalez-Eguino (BC3) presented project work on a deliberative dialogue held with 40 Spanish citizens in May-June 2021, focusing on Spanish citizens’ perceptions and feelings on different behavioural changes regarding mobility, consumption, food and waste, at the 14th Conference of the European Society for Ecological Economics.

Authors:
Ester Galende-Sanchez
Alevgul Sorman
Mikel Gonzalez
Tags:
deliberation
Spain
Co-creation
Title: [Presentation] Modelling pathways towards a climate-neutral EU industry sector
Date: June 2022
Short description:

To attain climate neutrality by 2050, the European industry must achieve significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. The EU's Green Deal with the new 55 % reduction target by 2030 and the ‘Fit for 55’ package set the frame for the transition. The Fit-For-55 package is accompanied by an impact assessment that includes scenario analyses for the development of the EU energy system until 2030.

Authors:
Khaled Al-Dabbas
Tobias Fleiter
Matthias Rehfeldt
Marius Neuwirth
Andreas Herbst
Title: [Presentation] Co-Creating Transformative Policy Mixes for Energy-Intensive Industries in Germany and the UK
Date: June 2022
Short description:

In view of the long-term climate targets of Germany and the UK, their industry sectors need to be geared to a pathway towards climate neutrality rapidly, which requires radi-cal process innovations in energy-intensive industries such as the production of steel, cement and basic chemicals.

Authors:
Jakob Wachsmuth
Thomas Jackwerth-Rice
Sarah Seus
Philine Warnke
Title: [Presentation] Comparative analysis of modelling approaches to assess transition impacts - First insights from the NEMESIS models
Date: December 2021
Short description:

Presented by Baptiste Boitier (SEURECO).

Authors:
Baptiste Boitier
Title: [Presentation] Co-creating a model inter-comparison exercise with stakeholders in the EU
Date: December 2021
Short description:

Presented by Alexandros Nikas (NTUA)

Authors:
Alexandros Nikas
Alessia Elia
Baptiste Boitier
Konstantinos Koasidis
Haris Doukas
Gabriele Cassetti
Annela Anger-Kraavi
Ha Bui
Lorenza Campagnolo
Rocco De Miglio
Elisa Delpiazzo
Arnaud Fougeyrollas
Ajay Gambhir
Maurizio Gargiulo
Sara Giarola
Neil Grant
Adam Hawkes
Andrea Herbst
Alexandre C. Koberle
Andrey Kolpakov
Pierre Le Mouel
Ben McWilliams
Shivika Mittal
Jorge Moreno
Felix Neuner
Sigit Perdana
Glen P. Peters
Patrick Plotz
Joeri Rogelj
Ida Sognnaes
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven
Marc Vielle
Georg Zachmann
Paul Zagame
Alessandro Chiodi
Journal:
14th IAMC Meeting 2021
Title: [Presentation] Challenges in the harmonisation of global integrated assessment models: A comprehensive methodology to reduce model response heterogeneity
Date: December 2021
Short description:

Presented by Sara Giarola (Imperial College - Grantham Institute)

Authors:
Sara Giarola
Shivika Mittal
Marc Vielle
Sigit P. Perdana
Lorenza Campagnolo
Elisa Delpiazzo
Ha Bui
Annela Anger-Kraavi
Andrey Kolpakov
Ida Sognnaes
Glen P. Peters
Adam Hawkes
Alexandre C. Koberle
Neil Grant
Ajay Gambhir
Alexandros Nikas
Haris Doukas
Jorge Moreno
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven
Journal:
14th IAMC Meeting 2021
Title: [Presentation] Assessing near-term transition and longer-term physical climate risks of greenhouse gas emissions pathways
Date: December 2021
Short description:

Presented by Ajay Gambhir (Imperial College - Grantham Institute)

Authors:
Ajay Gambhir
Mel George
Haewon McJeon
Nigel Arnell
Dan Bernie
Shivika Mittal
Alexandre C. Koberle
Jason Lowe
Joeri Rogelj
Seth Monteith
Journal:
14th IAMC Meeting 2021
Title: [Presentation] A stakeholder-driven approach to modelling national emissions pathways across the world
Date: December 2021
Short description:

Presented by Shivika Mittal (Imperial College - Grantham Institute)

Authors:
Shivika Mittal
Baptiste Boitier
Gabriele Cassetti
Lorenza Campagnolo
Alessandro Chiodi
Rocco De Miglio
Elisa Delpiazzo
Haris Doukas
Maurizio Gargiulo
Sara Giarola
Alexandre C. Koberle
Andrey Kolpakov
Ben McWilliams
Jorge Moreno
Alexandros Nikas
Sigit P. Perdana
Marie Pied
Alexander Shirov
Diego Silva Herran
Kathleen Vaillancourt
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven
Marc Vielle
Xi Yang
Georg Zachmann
Ajay Gambhir
Journal:
14th IAMC Meeting 2021
Title: [Presentation] Assessing SDG synergies and trade-offs of diverging Paris-compliant mitigation strategies
Date: December 2021
Short description:

Presented by Jorge Moreno (BC3)

Authors:
Jorge Moreno
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven
Jon Sampedro
Ajay Gambhir
Jem Woods
Mikel Gonzalez-Eguino
Journal:
14th IAMC Meeting 2021
Title: [Presentation] A multi-model analysis of long-term emissions and warming implications of current mitigation efforts
Date: December 2021
Short description:

Presented by Dirk-Jan Van de Ven (BC3)

Authors:
Ida Sognnaes
Ajay Gambhir
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven
Alexandros Nikas
Annela Anger-Kraavi
Ha Bui
Lorenza Campagnolo
Elisa Delpiazzo
Haris Doukas
Sara Giarola
Neil Grant
Adam Hawkes
Alexandre C. Koberle
Andrey Kolpakov
Shivika Mittal
Jorge Moreno
Sigit P. Perdana
Joeri Rogelj
Marc Vielle
Glen P. Peters
Journal:
14th IAMC Meeting 2021
Title: [Presentation] Allocating global COVID-19 recovery packages over low-carbon technologies to optimise between emission reductions and employment gains
Date: December 2021
Short description:

Presented by Konstantinos Koasidis (NTUA)

Authors:
Alexandros Nikas
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven
Konstantinos Koasidis
Aikaterini Forouli
Shivika Mittal
Sara Giarola
Ajay Gambhir
Alexandre C. Koberle
Alessandro Chiodi
Gabriele Cassetti
Maurizio Gargiulo
Sigit P. Perdana
Marc Vielle
Themistoklis Koutsellis
Haris Doukas
Journal:
14th IAMC Meeting 2021
Title: [Poster] An IAM-based framework for evaluating the environmental impact of low-cost technological solutions in the container shipping industry
Date: December 2021
Short description:

Presented by Evangelos Spiliotis (NTUA)

Authors:
Haris Doukas
Evangelos Spiliotis
Mohsen A. Jafari
Sara Giarola
Alexandros Nikas
Journal:
14th IAMC Meeting 2021
Title: Investigating optimal allocation of green recovery funds in the EU
Date: November 2021
Short description:

The pandemic had dramatic economic consequences in the EU: despite significant public interventions, more than 1.8 million jobs were lost between September 2019 and September 2020. As fiscal stimulus measures have been and continue to be announced, policymakers can ensure that the short-term stimulus points the economic recovery in a sustainable direction in the long term; in doing so, they must consider the trade-off between these goals.

Authors:
Alexandros Nikas
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven
Aikaterini Forouli
Konstantinos Koasidis
Shivika Mittal
Sara Giarola
Ajay Gambhir
Alexandre C. Koberle
Alessandro Chiodi
Gabriele Cassetti
Maurizio Gargiulo
Sigit Perdana
Marc Vielle
Themistoklis Koutsellis
Haris Doukas
Journal:
2021 EU Conference on modelling
Title: [Presentation] Interlinking climate action and sustainable development: a fuzzy linguistic group decision making framework
Date: July 2021
Short description:

The Paris Agreement and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development embody highly intertwined targets and guidelines to act for the climate crisis in conjunction with sustainability. Interlinking climate action and sustainable development is key to prioritising research and informing future mitigation analysis and policy. Here we seek to establish a methodology for implicitly eliciting stakeholders’ unbiased preferences, based on a fuzzy linguistic group decision making and consensus framework.

Authors:
Anastasios Karamaneas
Lorenza Campagnolo
Konstantinos Koasidis
Michael Saulo
Ioannis Tsipouridis
Ajay Gambhir
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven
Zsolt Lengyel
Ben McWilliams
Alexandros Nikas
Haris Doukas
Title: [Presentation] A multiple-criteria evaluation framework for seaport sustainability considering non-homogeneous variables and uncertainty: the case of Piraeus, Greece
Date: July 2021
Short description:

The maritime industry is associated with high amounts of emissions produced. With shipping being excluded from the Paris Agreement, the International Maritime Organization has set a 50% CO2 emissions reduction target, although, a concrete pathway has yet to be established, with negotiations being in progress to set a roadmap for the sector after 2023. Seaports are critical in the sector’s sustainability. Infrastructural interventions not only reduce direct emissions from ports, but also enable the use of a more efficient fleet.

Authors:
Eleni Kanellou
Konstantinos Koasidis
Vasiliki Daniil
Alexandros Nikas
John Psarras
Title: [Presentation] Exploring the impact of analyst’s choices in fuzzy cognitive maps for climate policy applications
Date: July 2021
Short description:

Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) have recently gained ground in energy and climate policy applications, partly due to stakeholders encountering difficulties in understanding, or being excluded from, state-of-the-art policy support frameworks, like energy- and climate-economic modelling tools.

Authors:
Themistoklis Koutsellis
Konstantinos Koasidis
Alexandros Nikas
Haris Doukas
Title: [Presentation] Identifying optimal COVID-19 recovery packages: a robust IAM-portfolio analysis of renewable energy technological subsidisation
Date: July 2021
Short description:

The pandemic has had significant impacts on the European economy, with approximately 1.8 million EU citizens losing their jobs between September 2019 and September 2020. Towards facilitating a swift and sustainable recovery, the EU launched the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) to provide €672.5 billion of financial support to Member States in the coming years. In line with the European Green Deal and climate efforts, 37% of investments in national plans requesting RRF financing must focus on a “green” transition.

Authors:
Alexandros Nikas
Aikaterini Forouli
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven
Konstantinos Koasidis
Ajay Gambhir
Themistoklis Koutsellis
Haris Doukas
Title: [Presentation] Allocation of European green COVID-19 recovery packages to mitigation emissions and create jobs in crisis years.
Date: June 2021
Short description:

To support member states’ economic recovery from the effects of COVID-19, the EU has mobilised financial resources as part of the long-term budget of 2021-2027 (European Commission, 2020a). Among the proposed recovery efforts, the EU launched the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) to provide €672.5 billion of financial support to Member States in the coming years (European Commission, 2020b).

Authors:
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven
Aikaterini Forouli
Konstantinos Koasidis
Ajay Gambhir
Themistoklis Koutsellis
Haris Doukas
Alexandros Nikas
Title: [Presentation] Towards a Methodology for Co-Creating Transformative Policy Mixes
Date: June 2021
Short description:

The extent to which modelled future pathways support effective challenge-led policy making has been questioned for a long time, with one major issue being the insufficient integration with the perspectives of policymakers and further stakeholders.

Authors:
Jakob Wachsmuth
Thomas Jackwerth-Rice
Sarah Seus
Philine Warnke
Title: [Presentation] Multi-Objective Evaluation of Renewable Technology Subsidy Portfolios from COVID-19 Recovery Packages
Date: June 2021
Short description:

To support the green transition, national recovery and resilience plans should allocate at least 37% of investments towards battling climate change and be aligned with the updated target of the European Green Deal of 55 emissions reduction by 2030. This study aims to optimise the impact of the proposed fiscal program and the budget allocated towards the “green” transition in terms of jobs created in the energy sector and further reduction of GHG emissions.

Authors:
Aikaterini Forouli
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven
Konstantinos Koasidis
Alexandros Nikas
Ajay Gambhir
Themistoklis Koutsellis
Anastasios Karamaneas
Haris Doukas
Title: [Presentation] The BRIDGE study: “Belt and Road Initiative and the Development of Green Economies” - Challenges and opportunities for a Green BRI
Date: December 2020
Short description:

This study analyses the impact of China’s hydrogen economy on its border Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries under a regional long-term nearly-zero vision.

Authors:
Rocco De Miglio
Gabriele Cassetti
Xi Yang
Title: [Paper] Prioritisation of risks associated with decarbonisation pathways for the Austrian iron and steel sector using 2-tuple TOPSIS
Date: October 2020
Short description:

Decarbonising emissions-heavy industrial sectors is key to delivering on the Paris Agreement. In Austria, the iron and steel sector holds a large share of the country’s greenhouse gas emissions and is in need of introduction of new technologies, orienting on green hydrogen and renewable energies. Acknowledging that such a transition features diverse exogenous risks and possible consequences, our research attempts to prioritise the risks associated with a pathway promoting a low-carbon iron and steel sector in Austria, from the stakeholders’ perspective.

Authors:
Alexandros Nikas
Apostolos Arsenopoulos
Haris Doukas
Alvaro Labella Romero
Journal:
World Scientific Proceedings Series on Computer Engineering and Information Science
Tags:
MCDA
Austria
Risk assessment
APOLLO
Title: [Presentation] How do policymakers use climate mitigation scenario information?
Date: August 2020
Short description:

The number of Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) and mitigation scenarios produced by IAMs have been steadily growing since the first IPCC assessment report, and scenarios have become increasingly influential in climate policy debates.  Lots of scenarios are now produced that are compatible with the policy targets of the Paris Agreement. IAMs – developed at universities, research institutes, and government agencies – contribute with scenarios to the IPCC reports and the academic literature.

Authors:
Bård Lappegård Lahn
Erlend Andre T. Hermansen
Ida Sognnaes
Glen Peters
Tags:
Czech Republic
policymakers
scenario design
Title: [Presentation] Delivering on the Paris Agreement: A demand-driven, integrated assessment modelling approach
Date: January 2020
Authors:
Mikel Gonzalez-Eguino
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven
Tags:
Spain
IAEE
Title: [Presentation] The H2020 Project PARIS REINFORCE
Date: December 2019
Authors:
Maurizio Gargiulo
Tags:
Australia
ETSAP
Title: [Presentation] PARIS REINFORCE and the I2AM PARIS platform
Date: December 2019
Authors:
Haris Doukas
Alexandros Nikas
Tags:
EMF
Japan
Title: [Poster] Achieving sustainable development in Eastern Africa: a portfolio-based integrated assessment modelling analysis among different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Date: December 2019
Short description:

We introduce a two-level integration of integrated assessment modelling and portfolio analysis, in order to simulate technological subsidisation and climate policies with implications for multiple Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), across different socioeconomic trajectories and considering different levels of uncertainties.

Authors:
Aikaterini Forouli
Alexandros Nikas
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven
Jon Sampedro
Haris Doukas
Tags:
Japan
IAMC